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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
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2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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投查查于2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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FOLLOWME交易社区授予
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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CATEGORIES
News
- The technical side turns short, is the GBP/USD facing in-depth adjustments?
- The CFTC U.S. index bulls violently increase their holdings and it is difficult
- 149.53 becomes the key defense line, and the upward action energy of the US doll
- Gold hit record highs, focus turns to US data
- 8.22 Gold fluctuates in a narrow range, can the weekly end be in circulation
market analysis
Bank of Japan's interest rate hikes heat up, USD/JPY is aiming at the 149 mark
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Group]: The Bank of Japan's interest rate hikes heat up, the US dollar/yen point to the 149 mark." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Japan inflation data in July was slightly higher than expected, further triggering speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might raise interest rates as early as October. Although the yen has performed weakly recently, as Fed policy expectations turn dovish and Bank of Japan's austerity policy approaches, the market holding structure and macro momentum may usher in a change. Currently, the US dollar/JPY is still fluctuating at a high level near the key resistance level, but from a long-term perspective, the yen is expected to strengthen in the fourth quarter.
Line charts and bar charts show the national inflation trend in Japan. In July 2025, Japan's overall consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.1% year-on-year, and the core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) stabilized at 1.6% year-on-year. The chart shows that the current inflation level is stable above the pre-epidemic level, providing support for speculation that the Bank of Japan has raised interest rates in October. Monthly CPI data also shows that the price pressure of core categories continues to stabilize.
Expectations of Bank of Japan's interest rate hikes have heated up, and the US dollar/yen approaches resistance level
Japan inflation data is slightly higher than market expectations, but it may not necessarily prompt the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates immediately. The national CPI rose 3.1% year-on-year, just slightly higher than the expected value of 3.0%, and lower than the increase of 3.3% in June. The core core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) has been stable at 1.6% year-on-year for four consecutive months, but it rose by 0.2% month-on-month in July.
www.xmspot.combined with Japan's strong GDP growth and a trade agreement restarted with the United States, a Reuters survey showed that economists increasingly support the Bank of Japan's interest rate hikes by 25 basis points in the fourth quarter, with October being considered the most likely time for policy tightening.
JPYYL Futures (JYc1): Position Report (COT) Analysis
The yen has continued to weaken against the US dollar since early April (USD/JPY is showing a long trend), which is also reflected in the Trader Position Report (COT) data. Large speculators and asset managers have been reducing net long exposure to yen futures, driven by an increase in net short positions and a decline in net long positions.
This change in holdings coincides with the cooling of market expectations for the Bank of Japan's short-term tightening. However, as the fourth quarter approaches, the yen bulls may begin to become active again. In fact, the yen net long positions of large speculators had seen a slight increase last week, and the overall net long positions remained intact.
Looking forward, I expect the market trend to shift to a direction that is not conducive to the US dollar and the Japanese yen before the end of the year. This will drive the US dollar/yen lower, especially as the Fed turns dovish and the Bank of Japan may implement a 25 basis point rate hike. Nevertheless, given the current momentum is still biased towards the US dollar/JPY upward, the shorts of the yen may still dominate in the short term.
Yen Outlook Outlook
In the short term, the US dollar/JPY seems to be the most attractive trading type for yen shorts. The dollar is still a market-favorable currency, especially if Federal Reserve Chairman Powell sends a hawkish signal in his speech at Jackson Hall later today (as opposed to market expectations for a dovish turn).
Dollar/JPY Technical Analysis
Daily chart shows that the USD/JPY shows a fluctuating but overall bullish trend, characterized by a series of gradually rising lows (although the trend is slightly irregular). The bullish engulfing pattern that appeared on Thursday showed that an upward breakthrough could be www.xmspot.coming, with the 150.00 mark becoming the focus. If the level is exceeded, the bulls may point to the August high of 150.92 and the March high of 151.30.
Nevertheless, considering the bearish signals on the weekly chart, if the price approaches the above high, the bulls should remain cautious.
The rebound market, which started in September and December lows, seemed to have a correction nature after a sharp drop in January highs. In addition, a long upper shadowed "meteor line" pattern was formed three weeks ago, with its high point slightly lower than its March peak. So, although I have a short-term bullish view on the USD/JPY at the daily level, I am still paying close attention to the potential top pattern that may form below the 151 mark.
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